Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.167701 0.192378 0.220512 0.255193 0.297110 0.346542 0.409852
2025-04-27 0.132093 0.164588 0.205862 0.263167 0.342368 0.450616 0.614618
2025-05-04 0.110218 0.145733 0.194566 0.268850 0.383219 0.560436 0.873238
2025-05-11 0.096076 0.133052 0.187196 0.275969 0.425846 0.685691 1.216066
2025-05-18 0.084934 0.122034 0.179192 0.278926 0.461175 0.810573 1.629048
2025-05-25 0.076112 0.112767 0.171709 0.280230 0.492990 0.940546 2.139552
2025-06-01 0.068591 0.104269 0.163755 0.278477 0.517859 1.066142 2.738460
2025-06-08 0.062005 0.096320 0.155323 0.273773 0.534947 1.181491 3.415251
2025-06-15 0.058241 0.092590 0.153642 0.281711 0.582100 1.395716 4.669291
2025-06-22 0.053314 0.086205 0.146112 0.275989 0.595371 1.524093 5.767133
2025-06-29 0.050060 0.082420 0.142932 0.278918 0.631380 1.743102 7.666222
2025-07-06 0.046576 0.077827 0.137541 0.275811 0.650558 1.919645 9.716022
2025-07-13 0.044169 0.075059 0.135569 0.280645 0.695203 2.226458 13.549668
2025-07-20 0.042179 0.072889 0.134560 0.287739 0.750124 2.624779 19.810551
2025-07-27 0.040267 0.070667 0.133141 0.293557 0.803967 3.074285 29.346964
2025-08-03 0.038676 0.068919 0.132511 0.301361 0.868507 3.653443 46.024262
2025-08-10 0.036905 0.066626 0.130367 0.304622 0.918766 4.222104 70.686216
2025-08-17 0.035175 0.064257 0.127756 0.306068 0.963462 4.825700 109.861242
2025-08-24 0.033391 0.061618 0.124206 0.304105 0.994246 5.388602 167.777333
2025-08-31 0.031574 0.058759 0.119824 0.298844 1.009488 5.868236 248.778604
2025-09-07 0.030679 0.057817 0.119973 0.307721 1.093268 7.109663 533.086800
2025-09-14 0.029061 0.055160 0.115601 0.301321 1.102574 7.674079 861.724997
2025-09-21 0.028041 0.053755 0.114230 0.304596 1.162661 8.948040 2044.543307